Trump Will Win Bigly in 2020

From:,  by Roger L. Simon,  on Apr 13, 2017

I have bad news for the mainstream media and the Democrats.  Time to stock up on absinthe or hightail it down to the medical marijuana store — Donald Trump is going to be president for eight years.  Not only that, he will win reelection much more comfortably, easily winning the popular vote as well as the electoral college.

I’m not saying this because I am in the slightest bit psychic. I always lose in Vegas — and don’t even ask about the track. I’m also not saying it because Trump just had a good week, getting his Supreme Court pick through and taking it to Assad and ISIS, earning him a slight bump in the polls. (They don’t mean anything now anyway.)

 I am saying it for same reason I predicted Trump would win his first term back in August 2015 — simple observation of the scene. I should add observation from afar because I have the advantage of watching from Los Angeles. The view is too distorted in the nation’s capital where, at least it seems from here, no one can stand each other. (That’s okay. People in Hollywood are exactly the same.)

Yes, you can say I’m being stupid and rash to make such an early prediction, but that’s just what I was accused of in 2015.  So go ahead and call me anything you want.  Make my day — November 3, 2020.

Okay, but why?

To begin with, the media (his main opposition party) has completely blown it in less than the allotted one hundred days. By attacking Trump every which way at once, calling him a racist, sexist, homophobe, Islamophobe, isolationist and warmonger — yes, the last two are completely contradictory, but that doesn’t stop the geniuses in our Fourth Estate — they have literally turned into the journalistic version of the boy who cried wolf.  No one believes them anymore, assuming they ever did in the first place.

And it’s only going to get worse because the Trump-Russia scandal is an obvious dud while the Obama-Trump surveillance contretemps could have legs, as we say hereabouts.

The situation is even more dire for the Democratic Party itself.  Their geriatric leaders have the charisma of pithed frogs with no successors in sight. More ominously, liberal-progressivism is completely out of ideas.  There’s no there there except hating everything Trump does — even eating steaks well done — and marching around in pussy hats demanding equal rights when many more women are attending college and now law school than men. (Someone should write a Carlyle-style history of the feminist movement from Gloria Steinem to Linda Sarsour.)

Meanwhile, Trump holds the cards.  He’s a pragmatic center-right businessman in what is still an essentially pragmatic center-right nation.  For all his fits and starts, he’s making many Americans feel good about their country again.  We’re not leading from behind anymore.  We’re back in front. We’re the superpower and we’re acting for good.  China  — the second power in the world — is already acknowledging that.

People say Trump flip-flops, but who doesn’t except rigid ideologues? Flip-flopping can be construed as a good thing, an adaptability to ever-changing situations.  Most of us do that, whether we admit it or not.

Nevertheless, Trump has a core.  He moves forward with his basics even as he revises them. He’s already done a substantial amount of deregulating with more to come.  He may not ever build a complete border wall, but illegal immigration is already down substantially just because existing laws are being enforced for once. Oil pipelines are opening.  Trade deals are being renegotiated. People are going back to work and consumer confidence is up.  And does anyone doubt he’ll get some form of tax reform done eventually?  I don’t.

Healthcare will remain difficult, because it has no good solution. All systems are imperfect. But there is an area in which I predict he will make tremendous inroads that will change our political landscape — our minority communities. Trump has promised to help African-Americans and he will do it.  (No wonder Maxine Waters is apoplectic.) No one else has done this from either party for decades, but Trump will.  And he will doubtless bring in the private sector that will make his work all the more successful. It won’t just be the same failed government programs we have seen for the last fifty years.

If this makes even ten percent more of the black community swing his way, that’s the end of identity politics and the end of the Democratic Party as we know it.  It’s not just Maxine who should be worried and calling for Trump’s impeachment.  With identity politics even partially vanquished,  2020 will be the proverbial walk in the park for Republicans.

Here’s my last optimistic prediction: Trump’s recent foreign policy successes will generate domestic opportunities. Success breeds success. Look for the Republican log jams on healthcare and taxes to break soon.  No, my eyesight isn’t 2020, but I can see that year from here without my glasses.

Roger L. Simon is an award-winning novelist, Academy Award-nominated screenwriter and co-founder of PJ Media.  His latest book is I Know Best:  How Moral Narcissism Is Destroying Our Republic, If  It Hasn’t Already.  Follow him on Twitter @rogerlsimon.


I got a kick out of that. Mr. Simon says that Trump will win “bigly” in 2020. Using a term coined (as far as I know) by the Trumpmeister himself.

So far, although I was dead set against him, he doing a far better job at being MY president than anyone since Ronald Reagan. He’s been chipping away at Barack Obama’s legacy of socialized crap and has shown that he will take a stand against those who would do us harm. Apparently, Trump’s “red lines” don’t get crossed without paying a penalty, unlike Obama’s that were likely to get the offender a stern glare in response. I hope that he continues to grow in the job and gradually moves more towards a conservative position in the way he approaches legislation. 

Again, so far, he’s not perfect, but he’s doing better than I expected and unless he regresses and becomes more Obama-like, he will have a good chance to win “bigly” in 2020.


Categories: Political


5 replies

  1. As I recall Hillary Clinton was expected to win bigly in 2016. The people who made those predictions now have a lot of egg on their faces. Mr. Simon ought to remember that.

    It’s far too early to make predictions about how Trump will fare if he opts to run again in 4 years, but Simons has a 50-50 shot so what the heck. He’s pretty much got a 50% chance of being able to say he predicted it way back when. Bully for him.

    Trump’s leftwing detractors are a bunch of idiots but that doesn’t mean he’s a superhero. He ran on repealing Obamacare and just a few short months in he’s backpedaling about as fast as he can. He ranted about getting the U.S. out of conflicts around the world but the minute his sensibilities were offended by the atrocities in Syria he changed his tune. NATO was bad, now it’s OK. He stupidly promised to give us his tax return, now he’s backpedaling on that. That doesn’t mean he won’t be re-elected. Sins have a way of being forgotten when the economy is good, but they have a way of haunting politicians when the economy is bad. That will be the deciding factor.

    The re-election of Trump will mean another four years without a conservative at the helm and four more years erosion of the Constitution, so I won’t be celebrating in the true sense of the word.


    • You’re right about Trump and his promises, CW, but frankly, I wonder if any conservative would stand a chance of winning the Republican nomination in 2020 if he doesn’t run. I’m not sure that Cruz could do any better than he did last time?


      • Alas I suspect the prospects for conservatives were further diminished with the election of Donald Trump, so there’s little hope for Cruz or anyone of his ilk. I understand reality – I just don’t like it.


  2. Simon’s take on the Dems is spot on. They are barely treading water and when they’re not gasping for air, they’re spewing out nasty remarks about Trump. That will go on for quite some time and it’s important that Trump not react to them, instead just get on with business.

    Unless he can get more cooperation out of Congress, taking care of business will be a very slow process. With their priorities being more about re-election than legislation, they’ll take their sweet time putting bills together. Unlike Trump, they don’t put the American people first.

    I wonder if Trump even wants a second term – he’s accomplished his goal, as far as winning the biggest reality game ever.


    • That’s a good question, although it must be hard to walk away from the power and trappings of the office – even for a billionaire like Trump. He appears to be “maturing” in the job as I don’t see as many assinine off-the-cuff comments as when he first took office, I hope that’s the case. I know that I feel a TON more confident with his finger on the nuclear trigger than Obama who probably wouldn’t have even responded if we had been directly attacked. I can see Obama threatening, “if you nuke one more American city, there’ll be hell to pay.”

      Liked by 1 person

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